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Amazon 's earnings report on Tuesday evening will give investors insight into two of the biggest stories on Wall Street — the resilient U.S. consumer and the artificial intelligence boom. Wall Street is generally optimistic about Amazon, as more than 90% of analysts have a buy or strong buy rating on the stock, according to LSEG. Several other tech companies, including Alphabet , have already reported strong advertising numbers for the first quarter. "We increase our Amazon advertising outlook following the impressive 2H23 performance and encouraging industry checks. On a ~55% margin, Advertising [earnings before interest and taxes] moves from $26B in FY23 to $41B in FY26," MoffettNathanson analyst Michael Morton said in an April 22 note.
Persons: Stephen Ju, Brian Pitz, Pitz, Michael Morton, Amazon's, Morton, MoffettNathanson, Ju, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Amazon, Services, AWS, UBS, prem, BMO
As inflation concerns remain at the forefront of investors' minds, UBS is eyeing stocks that can find growth no matter the economic cycle. "We define compounders as all-weather stocks that leverage operational excellence and competitive advantages to grow through any phase of the economic cycle," analyst Joseph Parkhill wrote on Tuesday. S & P 500 stocks are trading near all-time high valuations of 20 times price to earnings and 14 times enterprise value/EBITDA, Parkhill said. Here's a look at some of the 17 stocks that UBS is watching. Stocks also on the UBS list include artificial intelligence plays Microsoft and Broadcom .
Persons: Joseph Parkhill, Parkhill, AMZN, Stephen Ju, Jay Sole, Stocks Organizations: UBS, Amazon, Microsoft, Broadcom
Global mergers and acquisition activity will soar this year, and several names could benefit from the comeback, according to Morgan Stanley. The firm expects global M & A volume activity to rise by 50% this year compared to 2023. "We believe that a cyclical and structural rebound in M & A is coming," Morgan Stanley said in a note titled "Stocks with Elevated Likelihood of Receiving an Offer," which was released Monday. Morgan Stanley pointed out that 2021 to 2023 could have seen a drop of activity worth between $4 trillion and $11 trillion. Morgan Stanley said it has no information about M & A activity involving the companies.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Stephen Ju, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Health, Sarepta Therapeutics, Tenet Healthcare, Analysts, BMO Capital Markets, UBS, Hertz Global Holdings Locations: Europe
United Airlines' shares got a premarket lift following an upgrade at Evercore, and Bank of America dropped its price target on Expedia. He raised the price target to $300 from $225, which implies shares could gain 14.6% from Thursday's close. He also lowered his price target to $181 from $156, which implies 13.5% upside potential from Thursday's close. ET United Airlines shares could surge 56%, according to Evercore Evercore upgraded shares of United Airlines to outperform from in-line. He reiterated his $48 price target on shares, which suggests around 18% upside from the stock's closing price on Thursday.
Persons: Pinterest, Morgan Stanley, TransDigm, CyberArk, Tal Liani, Liani, Kim, Justin, Post, Expedia, — Hakyung Kim, Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, Gary Millerchip's, McShane, Evercore Evercore, Duane Pfennigwerth, Pfennigwerth, Morgan Stanley's, Kristine Liwag, Liwag, there's, LBTY, Georgios Ierodiaconou, Ierodiaconou, Stephen Ju, Ju, Goldman, Eric Sheridan, . Bank of America's Justin Post Organizations: CNBC, Citi, Liberty Global, United Airlines, Bank of America, Bank of America's, Palo, Costco, Incoming, Kroger, Liberty, Wall Street's, UBS, Pinterest, Google, . Bank of America's, Post Locations: underappreciated, Thursday's, Wall
The Federal Reserve closely monitors job openings to understand whether the economy is running too hot. The overall trend of slowing job openings is a sign that rate increases have cooled the economy, according to experts. Job openings, which reached a record of more than 12 million in March 2022, have trended down, as has the job-quitting rate, while separations have been flat. As openings rose slightly in September, the number of openings per unemployed worker was flat, at 1.5, the same as August. Job openings remain much higher than they were before the pandemic, and the number of unemployed workers per job opening is much lower.
Persons: Julia Pollak, , Sarah House, Stephen Juneau, What’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, ” Fed, Bank of America, Treasury, Labor Department Locations: Wells Fargo, September’s
The so-called core CPI was also lifted by a 3.7% rise in the cost of lodging away from home, which ended three straight monthly declines. The core CPI gained 4.1% on a year-on-year basis in September, the smallest rise since September 2021, after advancing 4.3% in August. Over the last three months, the core CPI increased 3.1%. Still-strong demand in the economy, marked by labor market tightness, which is driving core services inflation excluding rents, imply that the higher rates could last for some time. Reuters GraphicsThere is no sign yet that the United Auto Workers (UAW)strike, now in its fourth week, is having a major impact on the labor market.
Persons: Olu Sonola, Stephen Juneau, Bing Guan, Seema Shah, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Higher U.S, Treasury, Fitch, CPI, Reuters, Bank of America Securities, Mobil, REUTERS, Fed, Financial, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, Beverly Boulevard, West Hollywood , California
Mike Blake | ReutersIn theory, getting inflation closer to the Federal Reserve's 2% target doesn't sound terribly difficult. The main culprits are related to services and shelter costs, with many of the other components showing noticeable signs of easing. watch nowInstead, getting better control of rents, medical care services and the like could take ... well, you might not want to know. Policymakers have been banking on the notion that when existing rental leases expire, they will be renegotiated at lower prices, bringing down shelter inflation. He added that the CPI report "is a reminder that we do not have good historic examples to lean on" for long-term patterns in rent inflation.
Persons: Mike Blake, Steven Blitz, Goldman Sachs, Lisa Sturtevant, Christopher Bruen, Marta Norton, Stephen Juneau, Juneau Organizations: Reuters, GlobalData, Street, Cleveland Fed, Bright MLS, Housing, Americas, Morningstar Wealth, Bank of America Locations: Rancho, San Diego , California, Maryland, Stephen Juneau , U.S
That might not be bad news for the stock market after all. Data compiled by Raymond James shows the S & P 500 has averaged a 3.2% gain during government shutdowns going back to 1995. The most recent one, which took place between late 2018 and early 2019 and lasted 22 trading days, saw the S & P 500 rally more than 10%. In fact, the broad market index has posted gains in every shutdown period tracked by Raymond James. Bank of America economist Stephen Juneau also said, "the economic hit is usually modest," adding that shutdowns "do not impact market functioning."
Persons: Raymond James, shutdowns, Peter Boockvar, Stephen Juneau, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bleakley Financial, Bank of America
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineThe U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in August, but the overall unemployment rate rose. If the unemployment rate goes up, that means the proportion of people looking for a job compared with the total labor force has grown. Investors, too, cheered the jobs report. Major indexes rose in response to the jobs report as well.
Persons: Robyn Beck, Stephen Juneau, , Jeff Cox Organizations: HK MBG, BMW, HK, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Bank of America U.S, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Garden Grove , California, U.S
Forecasters believe that trend continued in August, estimating that the Labor Department’s monthly report on Friday will show the addition of 170,000 jobs. That would be a decrease from the 218,000-job average over the previous three months, and closer to the number needed to employ the approximately 140,000 people who enter the labor force each month. But analysts say the Federal Reserve’s push to cool rapid inflation by ratcheting up borrowing costs — and the impact on hiring — has a ways to go. Immigrants work at higher rates than the American-born population, in which labor force participation is declining as people age into retirement. Already, Americans are feeling the difference: In the Conference Board’s reading of consumer sentiment for August, the share of workers saying jobs were “hard to get” increased sharply, while the share saying jobs were “plentiful” fell.
Persons: , ’ ”, Stephen Juneau, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, “ There’s, we’ve Organizations: Labor, Bank of America Locations: American,
Credit Suisse refreshed its "top of the crop" stock picks for August, betting on some big-name stocks as investors continue to feed the markets with optimism. Credit Suisse recently highlighted several stocks the bank's analysts think can outperform this month. "It is increasingly clear that greater service levels in the form of faster delivery is leading to consumers assigning a higher value to Prime" memberships, Credit Suisse said. Credit Suisse also named electronics manufacturer Flex Ltd. as a top pick. Credit Suisse assigned a $126 price target on Merck, which implies 20% appreciation from Friday's closing price.
Persons: Stocks, Stephen Ju, Amazon's, Ju, Shannon Cross, Flex, Cross, Trung Huynh, Merck, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Suisse, Credit Suisse, Amazon, Flex, Merck, Prometheus Biosciences
Meta has had a breakout year in 2023 — and Wall Street analysts think the stock has even further room to grow after company's latest quarterly report. The new target price implies more than 25% upside from Wednesday's close. Bank of America analyst Justin Post also increased his price target on Meta shares to $375 from $350. META YTD mountain Meta shares in 2023 Meanwhile, UBS hiked its price target to $400 from $335, implying 34% further upside. He reiterated his overweight rating while lifting his price target to $425 from $300, one of the highest on the Street.
Persons: Meta, Morgan Stanley, Brian Novak, Novak, Justin Post, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Sheridan, Wells, Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski, Stephen Ju, Ju, UBS's Lloyd Walmsley, Walmsley, Doug Anmuth, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, Meta, Bank of America, Citi, Reality Labs, UBS, Credit Suisse Locations: opex
Minneapolis CNN —US companies wary about their economic prospects are battening down the hatches. Recent job market data shows more and more businesses have taken to “labor hoarding” and maintaining headcounts even as demand softens. Employees work at CannaCraft's March and Ash retail cannabis store in San Diego's Mission Valley neighborhood. Grey Duck’s sales picture will become clearer in the next three months, Bossen said. “We’re going to do whatever it takes to keep that staff employed and productive, even if things slow down,” he said.
Persons: , Dana Peterson, ” Peterson, it’s, Ash, Tiffany Devitt, CannaCraft, Ash CannaCraft, , Devitt, Stephen Juneau, they’re, Matt Bigelow, Gusset Jean, Bigelow, ‘ Waddle, Rob Bossen, Grey, Eli Nord, Bossen, “ We’re, waddle Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Conference Board, Conference, Business, CNN, Golden State, of Labor Statistics, Bank of America, Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA Brands, Gusset Jean Co, Vermont, Company Locations: Minneapolis, , headcount, California, Golden, Diego's, CannaCraft, Sonoma County, Juneau, Vermont, Johnson , Vermont, Roseville , Minnesota, China, Roseville
Minneapolis CNN —The number of first-time claims for weekly jobless benefits fell last week to 242,000, down 22,000 from 264,000 the week before, according to data published Thursday by the Department of Labor. Continuing claims, which are filed by people who have received jobless benefits for more than one week, dipped to 1.799 million for the week ended May 6 from a revised 1.807 million the week prior. The outsized influence of Massachusetts’ claims was an anomaly, BofA economists wrote, noting that the state’s total employment accounts for under 3% of overall US employment, and its initial jobless claims are typically under 3% of all weekly US claims. When excluding and recalculating filings in Massachusetts, initial claims have instead moved “sideways,” pointing to limited layoffs, economists Stephen Juneau and Michael Gapen wrote. Weekly jobless claims remain below historical averages: In the decade before the pandemic, weekly claims averaged 311,000.
This expected strength in leisure spending means big business for an industry that was on its knees just three years ago. When the pandemic began, restaurants, bars and hotels were hard hit, shedding more than 8 million jobs in the first few months of 2020. A recent survey from Bank of America showed that 68% of Americans plan to take a vacation this year. Vacationing remained elevated in April with 2.7 million Americans not at work because they were on vacation, the highest level for that month since 2017. Leisure spending is usually first on the chopping block because of its discretionary nature.
Credit Suisse refreshed its top stock picks for March, as the market reversed its January rally and began a renewed sell-off. In light of the growing market uncertainty, Credit Suisse highlighted several stocks it thinks can nonetheless outperform in coming months. Credit Suisse also sees strong gains ahead for T-Mobile, with the firm's price target of $175 implying upside of about 24% from Thursday's close. Other stocks on Credit Suisse list include Chipotle Mexican Grill, ServiceNow and Amazon. The company reported stronger-than-expected fourth quarter earnings, and Credit Suisse's 12-month price target on the stock implies upside of 34% from Thursday's close.
Last week, Hilton Worldwide CEO Chris Nassetta said, "The demand trends here and now are really strong." In the home-rental space, Airbnb also said it was seeing continued strong demand at the start of 2023. China's reopening from its Covid lockdown is also helping propel travel demand, as well as the tick up in business travel, she said. "The trends have been really strong since January," he said. Airlines like Delta, American Airlines and United Airlines cited strong travel demand and higher fares for fueling their strong fourth-quarter earnings — as well as for forecasts for this year.
Airbnb 's latest quarterly earnings outperformed expectations, but most analysts are still concerned about the stock going forward. Several analysts covering the stock reiterated their neutral or sell ratings on Airbnb a day after the company reported its calendar fourth-quarter results, citing ongoing risks for the short-term rental name. The analyst has a price target of $160 per share, implying upside of 32.3%. JPMorgan's Doug Anmuth also reiterated a neutral rating on the stock, noting that online travel is growing more competitive. Sheridan raised his price target on the stock to $98 per share from $87.
The company's long-term revenue outlook is also promising for investors, according to the analyst. The analyst also noted that management's "focus on reprioritizing investments" could help Pinterest grow margins and long-term profitability. Sheridan maintained his price target of $30 per share on Pinterest, implying a 9.2% upside from the stock's closing price of $27.48 as of Monday. He reiterated his neutral rating on Pinterest shares and issued a price target of $26 per share, implying downside of 5.4%. JPMorgan lowered its price target to $27 from $28 and maintained its neutral rating for the stock.
The billionaire Tim Draper is part of a lineage often lauded as Silicon Valley's premier VC family. As far as powerful professional networks go, it's hard to top the Draper family tree. Draper's venture-capital career began in the 1950s at his father's own trailblazing firm, Draper, Gaither, and Anderson, an early entrant in a new field. Meet the Draper family, the ultimate tech nepo babies and Silicon Valley royalty. Jesse DraperJesse Draper founded Halogen Ventures, which counts her father as an advisor.
Minneapolis CNN —The economy was top of mind for voters in the midterm elections, exit polls showed, adding even more weight to a highly anticipated inflation report due out on Thursday. However, higher energy prices likely pushed up monthly inflation by 0.6%. Additionally, the latest inflation numbers could benefit from the way the Bureau of Labor Statistics tabulates the index. To calculate medical services prices, the agency uses health insurance providers’ retained earnings, or profit margins. Unlike in goods, where inflationary inputs include supply chains and commodity prices, the biggest input into service-providing industries is labor costs.
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